Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.03/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.16
-6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
17.4 Crosses 12.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
288 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
23.10.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
07.05.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 3-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
08.12.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
05.12.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
23.09.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1-1
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.51 xG 0.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 269
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira and Independiente Medellin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 51% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 49%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.51 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.00 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin?

Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 36%, draw 27%, Independiente Medellin 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5
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