Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Deportivo Pereira — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pereira
KOL
3-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Pereira
KOL
2-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pereira
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pereira — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin squeezed past Deportivo Pereira 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 42%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.39 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Deportivo Pereira.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 46%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pereira 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.