Santa Fe 3-1 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Jan 2024

Santa Fe
3-1 HT 2-1
Envigado
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Santa Fe vs Envigado Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Fe v Envigado — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.36/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.34
+4% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
19.8 Crosses 11.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Santa Fe vs Envigado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Envigado
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 0.74
58% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
375 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
05.03.2023 Envigado Envigado 3-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
03.10.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
10.04.2022 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
25.09.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-1 HT 1-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
20.03.2021 Envigado Envigado 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL

Santa Fe 3-1 Envigado — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
3-1
AWAY Envigado
0.78 xG 1.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
272 Passes 359
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe beat Envigado 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Fe had 45% of the ball to Envigado's 55%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.78 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santa Fe and 1.17 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Envigado?

Santa Fe 3-1 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 50%, draw 28%, Envigado 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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