Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Cali v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
0-3
HT 0-2
Deportivo Cali
KOL
4-4
HT 0-0
Deportivo Cali
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-3
HT 2-1
Deportivo Cali
KOL
Deportivo Cali 1-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Cali nicked a narrow win over Alianza Petrolera 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Cali as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Deportivo Cali had 41% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 59%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.52 to 0.45.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.67 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera?
Deportivo Cali 1-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 42%, draw 30%, Alianza Petrolera 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.