Union Magdalena 3-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.6pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +10%
1.23/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.74
-4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +23%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.6 Crosses 16.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Magdalena
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Junior
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.97 xG 1.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2025 Junior Junior 4-1 HT 2-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
27.03.2025 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 0-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
09.02.2025 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
10.09.2023 Junior Junior 7-1 HT 5-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
06.08.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
26.03.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-2 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Magdalena
3-1
AWAY Junior
0.35 xG 2.33
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
166 Passes 331
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 40
4 Crosses 24
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Magdalena vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Magdalena beat Junior 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Junior at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Magdalena had 36% of the ball to Junior's 64%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.35 to 2.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Junior.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Magdalena and 2.50 for Junior.

What was the final score of Union Magdalena vs Junior?

Union Magdalena 3-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Magdalena vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Union Magdalena 26%, draw 31%, Junior 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Junior), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
7 Sep 2025
00:10 Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima Analysis →
04:30 Millonarios vs Santa Fe Analysis →
22:00 Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas Analysis →