Junior 2-1 Union Magdalena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Mar 2025

Junior
2-1 HT 0-1
Union Magdalena
📅27/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Junior vs Union Magdalena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Junior v Union Magdalena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.60/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.42
+10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
17.1 Crosses 12.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

Junior vs Union Magdalena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.85 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 242
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
09.02.2025 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
10.09.2023 Junior Junior 7-1 HT 5-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
06.08.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
26.03.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-2 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
10.02.2023 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
14.10.2022 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL

Junior 2-1 Union Magdalena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-1
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.44 xG 0.57
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
436 Passes 158
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Junior vs Union Magdalena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior edged past Union Magdalena 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 69% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 31%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.44 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Junior and 0.67 for Union Magdalena.

What was the final score of Junior vs Union Magdalena?

Junior 2-1 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Union Magdalena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Junior 58%, draw 25%, Union Magdalena 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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