Alianza Petrolera 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Mar 2025

📅27/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.40/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.35
-4% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.7 Crosses 15.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.83 xG 1.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
204 Passes 343
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 6
09.09.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
28.02.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-2 HT 1-2 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
15.03.2014 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
0-0
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
2.09 xG 0.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
303 Passes 259
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 4
26 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera and Fortaleza CEIF played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Petrolera at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 54% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 46%, shots finished 23-2, expected goals 2.09 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.67 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Alianza Petrolera 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 44%, draw 28%, Fortaleza CEIF 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
27 Mar 2025
02:30 Junior vs Union Magdalena Analysis →
04:30 Millonarios vs Santa Fe Analysis →