Alianza Petrolera vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Fortaleza CEIF Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza CEIF
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera and Fortaleza CEIF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 44% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 56%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.15 to 0.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.50 for Fortaleza CEIF.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 38%, draw 32%, Fortaleza CEIF 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), BTTS No went the other way.