Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Sep 2024

Deportivo Pasto
1-0 HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
📅09/09/2024 · 🕒03:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Pasto v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.17/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.15
-20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.5 Crosses 12.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.87 xG 1.09
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
235 Passes 366
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
27.10.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
18.08.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 3-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOLK
10.08.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOLK
14.05.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
01.12.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL

Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1-0
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.93 xG 0.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
230 Passes 280
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto nicked a narrow win over Independiente Medellin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Deportivo Pasto made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 46% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 54%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.93 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.00 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin?

Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 39%, draw 32%, Independiente Medellin 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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