Fortaleza CEIF vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza CEIF v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza CEIF vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza CEIF
KOL
Fortaleza CEIF 1-2 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera edged past Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Fortaleza CEIF at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 68% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 32%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.00 to 0.52 — on chances, Fortaleza CEIF could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Alianza Petrolera?
Fortaleza CEIF 1-2 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 46%, draw 30%, Alianza Petrolera 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.