Envigado 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
1.26/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.19
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
16.3 Crosses 11.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.73 xG 0.87
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 401
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2022 Envigado Envigado 3-2 HT 2-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
19.04.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
11.09.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
01.04.2021 Envigado Envigado 3-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
19.09.2020 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
17.08.2019 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 3-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
1-0
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
0.97 xG 1.93
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
229 Passes 299
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado nicked a narrow win over Patriotas Boyaca 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Envigado as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Envigado had 43% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 57%, shots finished 9-25, expected goals 0.97 to 1.93 — on chances, Patriotas Boyaca could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Envigado had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Envigado and 0.83 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Envigado 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Envigado 48%, draw 27%, Patriotas Boyaca 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Envigado), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Envigado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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