Millonarios 2-0 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Mar 2025

📅27/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.4pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.00/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.01
+13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
16.4 Crosses 15.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
262 Passes 262
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.03.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-2 HT 2-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
06.12.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
27.11.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
27.10.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
28.03.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-1 HT 2-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
22.10.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-3 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
2-0
AWAY Santa Fe
0.91 xG 0.38
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
353 Passes 175
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios beat Santa Fe 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Millonarios found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Millonarios had 63% of the ball to Santa Fe's 37%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 0.91 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Millonarios and 1.17 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Santa Fe?

Millonarios 2-0 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 38%, draw 32%, Santa Fe 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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