Millonarios 1-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 6 Dec 2024

Millonarios
1-1 HT 1-0
Santa Fe
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Millonarios vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.44
Over 2.5
40%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Millonarios v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.09/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.14
+19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
16.4 Crosses 15.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3

Millonarios vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
269 Passes 279
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.11.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
27.10.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
28.03.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-1 HT 2-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
22.10.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-3 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
11.09.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-4 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
08.05.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL

Millonarios 1-1 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
1-1
AWAY Santa Fe
2.04 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
227 Passes 168
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios and Santa Fe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Millonarios at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Millonarios had 54% of the ball to Santa Fe's 46%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 2.04 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Millonarios and 1.17 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Santa Fe?

Millonarios 1-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 42%, draw 29%, Santa Fe 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Millonarios), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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