Santa Fe 0-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.9pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.15/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.06
+26% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
15.5 Crosses 13.4
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.31 xG 1.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
251 Passes 303
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-1 HT 2-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
22.10.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-3 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
11.09.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-4 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
08.05.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
27.03.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
01.12.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
0-1
AWAY Millonarios
0.66 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
353 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios squeezed past Santa Fe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Millonarios found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Santa Fe had 57% of the ball to Millonarios's 43%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.66 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santa Fe and 2.00 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

Santa Fe 0-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 38%, draw 31%, Millonarios 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Fe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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