Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.39/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.42
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
20.6 Crosses 13.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.78 xG 1.23
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
22.09.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
28.03.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-1 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
21.09.2021 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 3-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
17.02.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 3-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
04.11.2020 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
1-1
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.05 xG 0.90
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
292 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera and Patriotas Boyaca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Petrolera at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 52% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 48%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.05 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.67 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 41%, draw 28%, Patriotas Boyaca 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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