Santa Fe 0-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Nov 2024

Santa Fe
0-1 HT 0-1
Millonarios
📅27/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Santa Fe vs Millonarios Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Fe v Millonarios — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.06/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.04
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
17.6 Crosses 13.1
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.1

Santa Fe vs Millonarios Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Millonarios
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
263 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
28.03.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-1 HT 2-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
22.10.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-3 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
11.09.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-4 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
08.05.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
27.03.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL

Santa Fe 0-1 Millonarios — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
0-1
AWAY Millonarios
0.22 xG 0.76
60% Ball Possession 40%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
355 Passes 225
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios nicked a narrow win over Santa Fe 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Millonarios found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Santa Fe had 60% of the ball to Millonarios's 40%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.22 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santa Fe and 2.00 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

Santa Fe 0-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 34%, draw 31%, Millonarios 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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