Santa Fe 3-2 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.8pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.20/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.23
-4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
16.5 Crosses 13.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.13 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 Passes 256
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.12.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
27.11.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
27.10.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
28.03.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-1 HT 2-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
22.10.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-3 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
11.09.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-4 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
3-2
AWAY Millonarios
1.01 xG 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
316 Passes 246
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe edged past Millonarios 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Santa Fe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Fe had 55% of the ball to Millonarios's 45%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.01 to 1.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Millonarios.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santa Fe and 1.83 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

Santa Fe 3-2 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 38%, draw 27%, Millonarios 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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