La Equidad 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.02/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.44
-23% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
17.0 Crosses 16.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 2.01
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
229 Passes 291
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 5
06.11.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
19.04.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
06.04.2014 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
1-1
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.34 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
261 Passes 282
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF
Match summary & frequently asked questions

La Equidad and Fortaleza CEIF shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Colombia - Primera on 23 Mar 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.

On the day, La Equidad had 50% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 50%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.34 to 0.73.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF lead the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for La Equidad and 1.00 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF?

La Equidad 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 41%, draw 29%, Fortaleza CEIF 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (La Equidad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
23 Mar 2025
02:20 Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas Analysis →
04:30 Santa Fe vs Millonarios Analysis →
23:30 Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga Analysis →