Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Atletico Bucaramanga — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Bucaramanga nicked a narrow win over Alianza Petrolera 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 36% / 29% — and on the day Atletico Bucaramanga made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 44% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 56%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.60 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.33 for Atletico Bucaramanga.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
Alianza Petrolera 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 36%, draw 36%, Atletico Bucaramanga 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.