Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Alianza Petrolera v Atletico Bucaramanga — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alianza Petrolera 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Bucaramanga came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Alianza Petrolera 2-1 on the road. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 38% / 28% — and on the day Atletico Bucaramanga made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 44% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 56%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.60 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.33 for Atletico Bucaramanga.
Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga Result & Final Score
Alianza Petrolera 1 - 2 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Bucaramanga Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 34%, draw 38%, Atletico Bucaramanga 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.