Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.77
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.2pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.7pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.03/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.02
-6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
17.1 Crosses 13.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Once Caldas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.75 xG 1.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
241 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 5
20.02.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
04.09.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
23.02.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
11.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
13.08.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
25.03.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1-1
AWAY Once Caldas
0.62 xG 1.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
181 Passes 283
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira and Once Caldas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pereira at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 42% of the ball to Once Caldas's 58%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.62 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.50 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?

Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 47%, draw 26%, Once Caldas 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Pereira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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