Once Caldas 1-2 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.16/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.18
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
19.4 Crosses 13.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.83 xG 0.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
294 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
13.08.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
25.03.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
19.02.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 3-1 HT 2-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
04.09.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
31.07.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
362 Passes 196
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira nicked a narrow win over Once Caldas 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Deportivo Pereira made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Once Caldas had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 39%, shots finished 20-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Once Caldas and 1.17 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Once Caldas 1-2 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 39%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pereira 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
23 Feb 2024
00:00 Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga Analysis →
02:10 America de Cali vs La Equidad Analysis →