America de Cali 0-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.5pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.42/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.24
+8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
16.4 Crosses 12.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
0W-4D-2L
AWAY La Equidad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.84
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
314 Passes 180
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.08.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
12.02.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
16.08.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
18.02.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
07.11.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 2-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
04.04.2021 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
0-1
AWAY La Equidad
0.70 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 8
318 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad edged past America de Cali 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was America de Cali at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, America de Cali had 51% of the ball to La Equidad's 49%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.70 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for America de Cali and 1.00 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs La Equidad?

America de Cali 0-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 46%, draw 27%, La Equidad 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (America de Cali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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