Once Caldas 3-1 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +20%
1.20/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.17
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
18.5 Crosses 12.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 0.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
288 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.09.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
23.02.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
11.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
13.08.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
25.03.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
19.02.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 3-1 HT 2-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
3-1
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.44 xG 1.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
266 Passes 325
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 23
8 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas got the better of Deportivo Pereira 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Once Caldas had 45% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 55%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.44 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Once Caldas and 1.17 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Once Caldas 3-1 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 50%, draw 27%, Deportivo Pereira 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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