Junior 4-1 Union Magdalena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.57/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.33
+9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
17.7 Crosses 12.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.93 xG 0.87
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
333 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.03.2025 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 0-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
09.02.2025 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
10.09.2023 Junior Junior 7-1 HT 5-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
06.08.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
26.03.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-2 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
10.02.2023 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
4-1
AWAY Union Magdalena
0.99 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
347 Passes 303
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs Union Magdalena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior cruised past Union Magdalena 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 52% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 48%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.99 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Junior and 0.67 for Union Magdalena.

What was the final score of Junior vs Union Magdalena?

Junior 4-1 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Union Magdalena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Junior 54%, draw 25%, Union Magdalena 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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