La Equidad 1-0 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 55%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
0.57/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.64
+41% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
257 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
9.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
9.9 Crosses 16.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Millonarios
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.85 xG 0.92
44% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
240 Passes 347
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.02.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
16.09.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-3 HT 0-2 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
03.03.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-2 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
09.11.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
02.10.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
09.04.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
1-0
AWAY Millonarios
0.21 xG 2.33
26% Ball Possession 74%
5 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
133 Passes 481
68% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 35
6 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad squeezed past Millonarios 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Millonarios at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, La Equidad had 26% of the ball to Millonarios's 74%, shots finished 5-22, expected goals 0.21 to 2.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Millonarios.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for La Equidad and 1.50 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Millonarios?

La Equidad 1-0 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 33%, draw 26%, Millonarios 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Millonarios) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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