Millonarios 2-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +18%
1.23/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.29
-10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
21.0 Crosses 12.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
2W-0D-4L
AWAY La Equidad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
350 Passes 251
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-3 HT 0-2 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
03.03.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-2 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
09.11.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
02.10.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
09.04.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
31.10.2021 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
2-1
AWAY La Equidad
1.22 xG 0.31
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
434 Passes 140
85% Pass Accuracy 61%
20 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios squeezed past La Equidad 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Millonarios had 68% of the ball to La Equidad's 32%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.22 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Millonarios and 1.33 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs La Equidad?

Millonarios 2-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 52%, draw 26%, La Equidad 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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