Envigado vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Envigado v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Envigado vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Envigado 0-1 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin edged past Envigado 1-0 on the road.
As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, Envigado had 64% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 36%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.27 to 0.97.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Envigado and 1.33 for Independiente Medellin.
Envigado vs Independiente Medellin Result & Final Score
Envigado 0 - 1 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Envigado vs Independiente Medellin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Envigado 17%, draw 27%, Independiente Medellin 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.