Envigado vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Envigado v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Envigado vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Envigado
KOL
2-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
1-2
HT 1-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
2-1
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
Envigado 0-1 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin edged past Envigado 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Envigado had 64% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 36%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.27 to 0.97.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Envigado and 1.33 for Independiente Medellin.
What was the final score of Envigado vs Independiente Medellin?
Envigado 0-1 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Envigado vs Independiente Medellin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Envigado 27%, draw 32%, Independiente Medellin 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.