Independiente Medellin vs Envigado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Envigado — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Envigado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Envigado
KOL
2-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
1-2
HT 1-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
2-1
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Envigado — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin squeezed past Envigado 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 69% of the ball to Envigado's 31%, shots finished 23-3.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Independiente Medellin and 0.67 for Envigado.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Envigado?
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Envigado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 57%, draw 24%, Envigado 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.