15/11/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Fortaleza CEIF vs Aguilas Doradas Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
24%
Draw
20%
23%
Away Win
9%
58%
Under 2.5
55%
42%
Over 2.5
45%
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
60%
BTTS No
66%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza CEIF v Aguilas Doradas — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fortaleza CEIF
EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Aguilas Doradas
EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+8% /
+19%
1.35/0.63
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.98/1.28
+29%
/
-40%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+43%
/
+2%
59%
Ball Possession
41%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
5
367 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
211 · 70%
15.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.8
13.3
Crosses
10.7
2.7
Yellow Cards
3.6
Fortaleza CEIF vs Aguilas Doradas Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Fortaleza CEIF
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Aguilas Doradas
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
0.71
xG
1.52
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
5
290
Passes
243
76%
Pass Accuracy
74%
25
Box Touches
16
15
Crosses
20
1
Yellow Cards
0
The Meetings
Fortaleza CEIF 0-1 Aguilas Doradas — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Fortaleza CEIF
0-1
AWAY
Aguilas Doradas
69%
Ball Possession
31%
17
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
2
7
Corners
1
405
Passes
147
81%
Pass Accuracy
63%
FAQ
Fortaleza CEIF vs Aguilas Doradas
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Aguilas Doradas edged past Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 away from home in the Colombia - Primera on 15 Nov 2024.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 40%.
On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 69% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 31%, shots finished 17-9.
What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Aguilas Doradas?
Fortaleza CEIF 0-1 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Aguilas Doradas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 53%, draw 24%, Aguilas Doradas 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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