Junior 3-0 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
67%
-16.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+13.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.63/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.29
+12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
17.0 Crosses 14.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.15 xG 0.58
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
372 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
03.12.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-2 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
19.11.2023 Junior Junior 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
07.10.2023 Junior Junior 3-2 HT 2-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
28.04.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 3-2 HT 2-2 Junior Junior KOL
03.10.2022 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
3-0
AWAY Deportivo Cali
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
331 Passes 374
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Junior vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior swept aside Deportivo Cali 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Junior had 47% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 53%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Junior and 0.83 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Junior vs Deportivo Cali?

Junior 3-0 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Junior 50%, draw 24%, Deportivo Cali 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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