Deportivo Pasto 3-2 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.3
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
72%
-19.1pp
29%
Draw
18%
+10.1pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+8.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 12%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.28/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.45
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -10%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 73%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
22.7 Crosses 11.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.88 xG 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
254 Passes 331
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
12.10.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
27.04.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
29.08.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
25.03.2021 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
14.10.2020 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3-2
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
329 Passes 265
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto squeezed past Patriotas Boyaca 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Pasto as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 54% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 46%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.33 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Deportivo Pasto 3-2 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 53%, draw 29%, Patriotas Boyaca 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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