Patriotas Boyaca 0-3 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Apr 2024

Patriotas Boyaca
0-3 HT 0-2
Deportivo Pasto
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.6pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Patriotas Boyaca v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.32/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.25
-5% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
17.8 Crosses 14.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.06 xG 0.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 Passes 257
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.10.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
27.04.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
29.08.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
25.03.2021 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
14.10.2020 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
19.10.2019 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL

Patriotas Boyaca 0-3 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
0-3
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
346 Passes 244
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto ran out comfortable winners over Patriotas Boyaca 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Pasto found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 56% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 44%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 0.50 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportivo Pasto?

Patriotas Boyaca 0-3 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patriotas Boyaca win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 38%, draw 33%, Deportivo Pasto 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Patriotas Boyaca), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Patriotas Boyaca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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