Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atletico Nacional v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Nacional 3-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional saw off Deportes Tolima 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (59%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Atletico Nacional had 57% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 43%, shots finished 25-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.50 for Deportes Tolima.
Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Result & Final Score
Atletico Nacional 3 - 1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 41%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.