Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
2-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
3-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Atletico Nacional 3-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional saw off Deportes Tolima 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Atletico Nacional found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 57% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 43%, shots finished 25-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.50 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?
Atletico Nacional 3-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 39%, draw 27%, Deportes Tolima 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.