America de Cali 3-0 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.30/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.02
+9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
16.0 Crosses 14.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Once Caldas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.11 xG 0.59
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
308 Passes 221
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
27.10.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
15.05.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
27.08.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
28.02.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
07.08.2021 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
3-0
AWAY Once Caldas
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
278 Passes 196
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali cruised past Once Caldas 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, America de Cali had 56% of the ball to Once Caldas's 44%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for America de Cali and 0.33 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Once Caldas?

America de Cali 3-0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 42%, draw 30%, Once Caldas 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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