Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportes Tolima v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportes Tolima 1-0 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima nicked a narrow win over Atletico Nacional 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.66, about 60%.
By the numbers, possession split 50% to 50% in Deportes Tolima's favour, shots finished 10-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Deportes Tolima against 1.83 for Atletico Nacional.
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Result & Final Score
Deportes Tolima 1 - 0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 65%, draw 22%, Atletico Nacional 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.