Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
2-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
3-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Deportes Tolima 1-0 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima nicked a narrow win over Atletico Nacional 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 50% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 50%, shots finished 10-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.83 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?
Deportes Tolima 1-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 53%, draw 26%, Atletico Nacional 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.