Deportivo Pereira 4-3 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
55%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.0pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.19/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.24
-4% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
18.6 Crosses 12.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2W-2D-2L
AWAY La Equidad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.78 xG 1.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
265 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
15.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
30.04.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
28.08.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
27.02.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-3 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
21.09.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
4-3
AWAY La Equidad
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
317 Passes 210
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira nicked a narrow win over La Equidad 4-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Pereira as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 58% of the ball to La Equidad's 42%, shots finished 16-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.17 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs La Equidad?

Deportivo Pereira 4-3 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 46%, draw 28%, La Equidad 26%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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