America de Cali 1-1 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-11.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.5pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.61/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.27
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
17.1 Crosses 11.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.79 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
252 Passes 286
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 3-1 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
19.04.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
31.07.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
05.02.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-4 HT 1-2 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
24.11.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
14.11.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.79 xG 0.37
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
430 Passes 166
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali and Deportivo Pasto shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had America de Cali at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, America de Cali had 68% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 32%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.79 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for America de Cali and 1.33 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto?

America de Cali 1-1 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 55%, draw 25%, Deportivo Pasto 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
9 Feb 2025
02:20 Union Magdalena vs Junior Analysis →
04:30 Millonarios vs La Equidad Analysis →
22:00 Envigado vs Independiente Medellin Analysis →