Envigado 0-2 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
28%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.0pp
35%
Draw
33%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -22%
1.01/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.95
+6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
11.9 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.98 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
238 Passes 285
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2025 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
25.10.2024 Envigado Envigado 3-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
24.02.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
25.10.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-1 HT 1-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
12.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
13.05.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 1-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
0-2
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.79 xG 1.43
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
221 Passes 137
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas got the better of Envigado 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; Aguilas Doradas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Envigado had 59% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 41%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.79 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Envigado and 1.67 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas?

Envigado 0-2 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Envigado 37%, draw 35%, Aguilas Doradas 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Envigado) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Envigado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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