Deportes Tolima vs Union Magdalena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Union Magdalena — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Union Magdalena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Union Magdalena
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-1
HT 2-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Union Magdalena
KOL
1-2
HT 0-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Union Magdalena
KOL
Deportes Tolima 3-1 Union Magdalena — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima got the better of Union Magdalena 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 64% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 36%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.30 to 0.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.00 for Union Magdalena.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Union Magdalena?
Deportes Tolima 3-1 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Union Magdalena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 55%, draw 26%, Union Magdalena 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.