Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 10 May 2025

Atletico Bucaramanga
2-0 HT 1-0
Independiente Medellin
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Atletico Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Bucaramanga v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.02/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.23
-18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.3 Crosses 13.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Atletico Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 1.48
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
238 Passes 348
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
15.04.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
26.09.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
16.04.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
20.10.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
24.04.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-3 HT 2-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL

Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2-0
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.99 xG 0.18
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga beat Independiente Medellin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Atletico Bucaramanga made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 45% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 55%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.99 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 2.00 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin?

Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 36%, draw 30%, Independiente Medellin 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
10 May 2025
02:20 Deportes Tolima vs Union Magdalena Analysis →
23:00 Envigado vs Aguilas Doradas Analysis →