Alianza Petrolera 2-0 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 May 2025

Alianza Petrolera
2-0 HT 2-0
Deportivo Cali
📅12/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-4.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.2pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza Petrolera v Deportivo Cali — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.29/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.23
+15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.9 Crosses 13.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.92 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 Passes 275
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.07.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
27.01.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 3-3 HT 2-2 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
02.10.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
23.04.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
20.08.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 4-4 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
21.02.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL

Alianza Petrolera 2-0 Deportivo Cali — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.65 xG 0.94
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
201 Passes 393
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera beat Deportivo Cali 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza Petrolera as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 36% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 64%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.65 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 2.17 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali?

Alianza Petrolera 2-0 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 44%, draw 33%, Deportivo Cali 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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