Atletico Nacional 2-1 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-2.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.57/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.42
+26% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 72%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
17.6 Crosses 19.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
2-1
AWAY Llaneros
1.28 xG 1.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
216 Passes 270
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional squeezed past Llaneros 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 45% of the ball to Llaneros's 55%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.28 to 1.74 — the balance of chances actually favoured Llaneros.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Llaneros?

Atletico Nacional 2-1 Llaneros in the Colombia - Primera on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 62%, draw 21%, Llaneros 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ BTTS No
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