Once Caldas 2-2 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.22/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.28
+17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.3 Crosses 13.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Millonarios
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.33 xG 0.85
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 360
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios CSA
08.09.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
28.02.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 0-2 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
22.08.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
27.02.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
11.09.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-1 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
2-2
AWAY Millonarios
1.34 xG 1.51
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 8
162 Passes 364
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas and Millonarios couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Once Caldas had 34% of the ball to Millonarios's 66%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.34 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Once Caldas and 0.67 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Millonarios?

Once Caldas 2-2 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 38%, draw 32%, Millonarios 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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