Once Caldas 1-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.12/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.20
+4% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.6 Crosses 13.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Millonarios
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 Passes 358
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 0-2 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
22.08.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
27.02.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
11.09.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-1 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
19.03.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
02.08.2021 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-2 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
1-1
AWAY Millonarios
1.62 xG 0.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
243 Passes 314
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas and Millonarios couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Once Caldas had 45% of the ball to Millonarios's 55%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.62 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Once Caldas and 1.00 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Millonarios?

Once Caldas 1-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 40%, draw 28%, Millonarios 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Once Caldas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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