America de Cali 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.0pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.0pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.5pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.46/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.46
+3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.1
17.0 Crosses 11.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 255
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.02.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
14.09.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
03.04.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
13.10.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
25.04.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
19.09.2021 America de Cali America de Cali 2-3 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-0
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
3.13 xG 0.06
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
466 Passes 167
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 2
17 Crosses 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali squeezed past Jaguares De Cordoba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, America de Cali had 69% of the ball to Jaguares De Cordoba's 31%, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 3.13 to 0.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold America de Cali's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for America de Cali and 1.00 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

America de Cali 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Primera on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 50%, draw 30%, Jaguares De Cordoba 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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