Deportes Tolima 1-1 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.32/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.30
+7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
17.5 Crosses 13.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
311 Passes 285
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.02.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
30.11.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
26.11.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4-2 HT 2-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
12.10.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
27.02.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
15.07.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.83 xG 1.91
58% Ball Possession 42%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
453 Passes 319
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Cali shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 42%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.83 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.17 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?

Deportes Tolima 1-1 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 50%, draw 28%, Deportivo Cali 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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