Deportivo Cali 1-2 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.9pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.03/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.13
-4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.5 Crosses 14.5
3.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.02 xG 1.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
261 Passes 306
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
26.11.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4-2 HT 2-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
12.10.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
27.02.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
15.07.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
24.02.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOLSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
1-2
AWAY Deportes Tolima
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
386 Passes 308
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima squeezed past Deportivo Cali 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Deportes Tolima found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 56% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 44%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.67 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?

Deportivo Cali 1-2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 28%, draw 33%, Deportes Tolima 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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