Boyaca Chico 1-2 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -16%
1.06/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.20
+21% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
17.9 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.49 xG 1.05
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 Passes 291
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
01.04.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
25.02.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 2-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
26.10.2020 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-1 HT 3-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
16.09.2018 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
25.03.2018 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 3-1 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boyaca Chico
1-2
AWAY Santa Fe
0.85 xG 1.05
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
331 Passes 192
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
9 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boyaca Chico vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe edged past Boyaca Chico 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Santa Fe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boyaca Chico had 59% of the ball to Santa Fe's 41%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.85 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boyaca Chico and 1.67 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Santa Fe?

Boyaca Chico 1-2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boyaca Chico win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 34%, draw 33%, Santa Fe 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boyaca Chico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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