Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Deportivo Cali — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
0-3
HT 0-2
Deportivo Cali
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 1-0 Deportivo Cali — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Cali 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Alianza Petrolera found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 39% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 61%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.73 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.33 for Deportivo Cali.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali?
Alianza Petrolera 1-0 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Cali?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 38%, draw 28%, Deportivo Cali 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.