Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boyaca Chico v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
2-0
HT 2-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-1
HT 2-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-0
HT 0-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
Boyaca Chico 1-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Boyaca Chico and Deportes Tolima couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Boyaca Chico had 40% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 60%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.22 to 2.01.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boyaca Chico and 1.67 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima?
Boyaca Chico 1-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 28%, draw 29%, Deportes Tolima 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima), BTTS No went the other way.